2026-08-12 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 31.7% | 19.6% | stable |
| Korea | extreme_bullish | 80.8% | 3.8% | improving |
| US | neutral | 34.4% | 10.9% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 50.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bearish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 60.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Communication Services, BASIC_MATERIALS · weak: Utilities, UTILITIES
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-12 21:30 KST — Amcor plc 실적 발표 (AMCR)
- 🔴 08-13 21:30 KST — Amcor plc 실적 발표 (AMCR)
- 🔴 08-14 05:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 실적 발표 (AMAT)
- 🟡 08-13 21:30 KST — US PPI Release
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains elevated with a clear bearish tilt, while bonds show a bullish leaning. :macro:
- Korea: Korean markets exhibit strong bullish momentum, with the trend showing improvement. :korea:
- US: US equities are reading as neutral overall, with the trend remaining stable. :us:
- Sectors: Strength is noted in Communication Services and BASIC_MATERIALS, while Utilities shows weakness. :sectors:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a divergence, with bearish signals noted across FX and liquidity, contrasting with bullish readings in bonds. The relative strength in Korean markets stands out against the neutral readings in US equities and crypto. On balance, the market structure suggests caution amidst differing directional signals across asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-12 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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