2026-08-13 Crypto Market Read — Bengal
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 30.2% | 18.2% | stable |
| Korea | bullish | 75.5% | 4.4% | improving |
| US | neutral | 42.9% | 25.6% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bullish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 80.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: exchange · weak: payments · dominance: btc_dominant
This week’s calendar
- 🟡 08-13 21:30 KST — US PPI Release
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: bearish → neutral (8 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility readings suggest a predominantly bearish sentiment, though the trend remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds show a neutral stance, with bullish readings slightly outweighing bearish ones, maintaining a stable trend.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange exhibits a bullish leaning, though the bearish component holds a larger weight, keeping the trend stable.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are positioned in a sideways-bullish regime, indicating a leaning toward upside momentum while remaining range-bound.
- Bengal(Crypto): Crypto is registering a neutral state, with the overall market structure showing stability across its components.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents mixed signals, with commodities showing clear bullish bias while inflation leans bearish. The cross-market view suggests that while regional indices like Korea show improving strength, the broader US and crypto landscapes are maintaining a neutral posture. On balance, the market appears to be digesting mixed signals, favoring caution within established ranges. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-13 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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