2026-08-13 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 30.2% | 18.2% | deteriorating |
| Korea | bullish | 75.5% | 4.4% | improving |
| US | neutral | 42.9% | 25.6% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bullish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 80.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_SEMICONDUCTOR, KR_INDUSTRIALS, KR_BIO_HEALTH, KR_MATERIALS · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-14 15:00 KST — Nongshim 실적 발표 (004370)
- 🔴 08-14 15:00 KST — Hyundai M&F INS 실적 발표 (001450)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — HANKOOK & COMPANY 배당락일 (000240)
- 🟡 08-13 21:30 KST — US PPI Release
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (61 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains elevated with a clear bearish tilt, while risk appetite shows a mixed, yet stable, reading.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bond positioning is neutral, with credit metrics leaning moderately positive across the board.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements show a distinct bullish bias despite a larger bearish component.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities exhibit a sideways bias with a notable bullish leaning, suggesting underlying support.
- Kosho(KR): Korean equities are showing a clear bullish trend improvement, with semiconductor, industrials, bio-health, and materials sectors demonstrating strength.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure suggests underlying strength in developed Asian equities, contrasting with softening sentiment observed in the cryptocurrency space. Macro indicators point to caution, particularly regarding inflation, while commodity positioning remains supportive. The overall picture suggests a period of selective strength amidst broader uncertainty. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-13 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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