2026-08-13 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 29.9% | 18.4% | stable |
| Korea | sideways_bullish | 57.2% | 1.2% | improving |
| US | neutral | 42.9% | 25.6% | stable |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bullish | 37.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 70.0% | 10.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: ENERGY, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services, Technology · weak: UTILITIES, Real Estate, CONSUMER_DEFENSIVE
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-13 21:30 KST — Amcor plc 실적 발표 (AMCR)
- 🔴 08-14 05:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 실적 발표 (AMAT)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — AFLAC Incorporated 배당락일 (AFL)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 배당락일 (ADM)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Apollo Global Management, Inc. 배당락일 (APO)
- 🔴 08-19 21:30 KST — Analog Devices, Inc. 실적 발표 (ADI)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is reading extreme bearish, while the overall trend remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds are showing a neutral stance with no bearish leaning observed.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange is exhibiting a bullish bias despite a majority bearish reading.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are in a sideways bullish regime, leaning toward the upside.
- Maine(US): US equities are neutral, with Energy, Consumer Cyclical, Communication Services, and Technology showing strength, while Utilities, Real Estate, and Consumer Defensive are lagging.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture suggests underlying caution, evidenced by bearish liquidity readings, though commodity strength and a bullish FX bias offer some support. The divergence between the US equity’s neutral reading and the sector strength suggests internal rotation within the market structure. On balance, the tape appears to be consolidating within established boundaries. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-13 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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