2026-08-16 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 34.1% | 20.0% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 54.6% | 0.3% | stable |
| US | neutral | 34.0% | 7.0% | improving |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 37.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 90.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: TECHNOLOGY, Communication Services, HEALTHCARE · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 배당락일 (ADM)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — AFLAC Incorporated 배당락일 (AFL)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Apollo Global Management, Inc. 배당락일 (APO)
- 🔴 08-19 21:30 KST — Analog Devices, Inc. 실적 발표 (ADI)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 배당락일 (AMAT)
- 🔴 08-21 09:00 KST — Amgen Inc. 배당락일 (AMGN)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is reading extreme bearish sentiment, though the underlying trend remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds exhibit a neutral reading, with bullish sentiment showing a slight edge over bearish readings.
- Sham(FX): FX sentiment is neutral, showing a slight lean toward bullish readings relative to bearish ones.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are displaying a sideways bullish regime, with strong bullish conviction noted.
- Maine(US): US equities are showing a neutral reading with an improving trend, while technology and communication services sectors are noted as strong.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a mixed signal, characterized by high bearish readings in volatility contrasting with strong bullishness in credit and commodities. The US market shows an improving trend amidst this backdrop, though crypto sentiment remains balanced. Overall, the data suggests a period of cautious consolidation across major asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-10
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-16 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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