2026-08-18 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 25.4% | 21.7% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 54.6% | 0.3% | stable |
| US | neutral | 39.6% | 19.1% | improving |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | bullish | 37.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 80.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: INDUSTRIALS, Energy, ENERGY, Communication Services · weak: CONSUMER_DEFENSIVE
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Apollo Global Management, Inc. 배당락일 (APO)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 배당락일 (ADM)
- 🔴 08-19 09:00 KST — AFLAC Incorporated 배당락일 (AFL)
- 🔴 08-19 21:30 KST — Analog Devices, Inc. 실적 발표 (ADI)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 배당락일 (AMAT)
- 🔴 08-21 09:00 KST — Amgen Inc. 배당락일 (AMGN)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains in an extreme bearish regime, while the overall trend across various metrics suggests stability.
- Bsho(Bonds): Credit conditions read distinctly bullish, contrasting with bonds showing a neutral stance.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements indicate a bullish bias, though the underlying liquidity environment is registering as neutral.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are exhibiting a sideways bias leaning toward bullishness, with inflation remaining in a neutral zone.
- Maine(US): US equities are showing a neutral trend that is improving, with strength observed in Industrials, Energy, and Communication Services, while Consumer Defensive appears weaker.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: credit and commodities lean positive, while volatility remains elevated. The notable upward movement in long-term Treasury yields, alongside gold gains linked to a lower dollar, suggests underlying shifts in rate expectations that are influencing risk assets. Overall, the tape suggests caution amidst sectoral strength. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-17
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-18 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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