2026-08-20 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 21.5% | 25.4% | deteriorating |
| Korea | neutral | 39.2% | 15.0% | stable |
| US | neutral | 19.5% | 9.5% | improving |
| Volatility | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 37.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bullish | 60.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: ENERGY, Energy, COMMUNICATION_SERVICES · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — Microsoft Corporation 배당락일 (MSFT)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — Applied Materials, Inc. 배당락일 (AMAT)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin 배당락일 (CNP)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — ResMed Inc. 배당락일 (RMD)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — Marriott International 배당락일 (MAR)
- 🔴 08-20 09:00 KST — SBA Communications Corporation 배당락일 (SBAC)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds show a balanced reading, with equal weight allocated to bullish and bearish indicators, suggesting a stable, non-directional regime.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange indicators lean slightly toward bullish readings, though the distribution remains relatively balanced.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity indicators are predominantly bullish, indicating a clear upward bias across the basket.
- Maine(US): US equities show an improving trend, with the underlying market structure suggesting positive momentum despite mixed sector strength.
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency indicators reflect a deteriorating trend, showing a slightly higher weighting towards bearish signals. :crypto:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market exhibits a divergence where commodities and US equities show signs of underlying strength, while crypto suggests weakening momentum. The broader macro picture remains balanced across most asset classes, pointing toward a period of consolidation punctuated by sector-specific strength. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-17
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-20 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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