2026-08-22 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | extreme_bullish | 81.0% | 5.9% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 15.0% | 7.7% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 25.0% | 34.0% | stable |
| Volatility | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 12.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bullish | 37.5% | 50.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | sideways_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Commodities | extreme_bullish | 90.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bullish | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_MATERIALS · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-24 09:00 KST — S-Oil 배당락일 (010950)
- 🔴 08-24 09:00 KST — HANKOOK TIRE & TECHNOLOGY 배당락일 (161390)
- 🔴 08-25 15:00 KST — HANJINKAL 실적 발표 (180640)
- 🔴 08-26 09:00 KST — DWS 배당락일 (014820)
- 🔴 08-26 09:00 KST — SamyangFood 배당락일 (003230)
- 🔴 08-27 09:00 KST — Youngone Corp 배당락일 (111770)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (62 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains stable, with balanced bullish and bearish readings across the board. :macro:
- Bonds: The bond market shows a balanced reading, indicating no strong directional bias.
- Credit: Credit sentiment leans distinctly bullish, showing no recorded bearish pressure.
- FX: Foreign exchange dynamics are characterized by a notable bullish skew, despite a higher percentage of bearish readings.
- Liquidity: Liquidity conditions read as sideways but with a clear bullish tilt.
- Commodities: Commodity pricing exhibits a strong bullish bias, with no bearish indicators present.
- Inflation: Inflation readings are balanced, suggesting a neutral directional posture.
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency markets display a strong upward momentum, with the trend noted as improving. :crypto:
- Korea: Korean equities are showing a neutral reading, with the trend noted as deteriorating.
- US: US equities are reading as neutral, with a slight leaning toward bearishness. :us:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a mixed signal, with commodities and crypto showing clear strength while US equities remain indecisive. The divergence between the bullish readings in commodities and the neutral/deteriorating readings in regional equities suggests caution is warranted across asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-17
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-22 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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