2026-08-25 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | extreme_bullish | 75.1% | 6.5% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 31.3% | 19.2% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 26.2% | 15.1% | stable |
| Volatility | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bullish | 37.5% | 50.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | sideways_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bullish | 80.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bullish | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: FINANCIAL_SERVICES, Basic Materials, ENERGY, COMMUNICATION_SERVICES · weak: UTILITIES
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-25 09:00 KST — Johnson & Johnson 배당락일 (JNJ)
- 🔴 08-25 09:00 KST — CDW Corporation 배당락일 (CDW)
- 🔴 08-25 09:00 KST — Prudential Financial, Inc. 배당락일 (PRU)
- 🔴 08-26 05:00 KST — Intuit Inc. 실적 발표 (INTU)
- 🔴 08-26 09:00 KST — S&P Global Inc. 배당락일 (SPGI)
- 🔴 08-26 21:30 KST — Williams-Sonoma, Inc. 실적 발표 (WSM)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 4 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is stable, showing an even split between bullish and bearish readings.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds maintain a neutral stance, with bullish readings slightly outweighing bearish ones.
- Sham(FX): FX exhibits an extreme bullish bias, with a notable proportion of readings leaning bullish compared to bearish.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities show a sideways bullish bias, with a high proportion of readings indicating bullish sentiment.
- Maine(US): US equities are reading as neutral overall, with FINANCIAL_SERVICES, Basic Materials, ENERGY, and COMMUNICATION_SERVICES showing strength, while UTILITIES appear weaker.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The cross-market indicators suggest a generally supportive environment, particularly noted in the strong bullish leaning of commodities and liquidity. While the US market reads as neutral, the underlying strength in certain sectors and the improving trend in crypto suggest underlying directional conviction, though caution remains warranted given the geopolitical focus. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-24
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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