2026-08-30 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 60.3% | 6.1% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 29.0% | 10.1% | stable |
| US | neutral | 21.3% | 36.6% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Credit | sideways_bullish | 100.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 37.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | bullish | 75.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | extreme_bullish | 50.0% | 20.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: REAL_ESTATE · weak: CONSUMER_CYCLICAL, Financial Services, INDUSTRIALS
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — Allstate Corporation (The) 배당락일 (ALL)
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — Qnity Electronics, Inc. 배당락일 (Q)
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — Hubbell Inc 배당락일 (HUBB)
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — DuPont de Nemours, Inc. 배당락일 (DD)
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — Parker-Hannifin Corporation 배당락일 (PH)
- 🔴 08-31 09:00 KST — Dow Inc. 배당락일 (DOW)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 3 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is reading bearishly, while liquidity shows a clear bullish bias.
- Bsho(Bonds): Credit conditions are entirely bullish, though bond trends remain balanced.
- Sham(FX): FX sentiment is mixed, showing more bullish leaning than bearish, but remains undecided.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities exhibit an extreme bullish reading, suggesting strong underlying demand.
- Maine(US): US equities are showing a deteriorating trend, with real estate being a relative strength while consumer cyclical, financial services, and industrials are lagging.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The cross-market view suggests robust commodity strength and improving liquidity, contrasting with deteriorating US equity momentum. The macro picture is characterized by strong credit and commodity support, while underlying volatility remains elevated. On balance, the market exhibits mixed directional signals, requiring caution. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-24
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-30 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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