2026-09-03 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 27.9% | 14.5% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 23.3% | 18.6% | improving |
| US | extreme_bearish | 14.0% | 57.1% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 37.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 37.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bullish | 60.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 50.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Energy, ENERGY, Healthcare · weak: REAL_ESTATE, FINANCIAL_SERVICES, CONSUMER_CYCLICAL
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Newmont Corporation 배당락일 (NEM)
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Principal Financial Group Inc 배당락일 (PFG)
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Home Depot, Inc. (The) 배당락일 (HD)
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Linde plc 배당락일 (LIN)
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Broadridge Financial Solutions, 배당락일 (BR)
- 🔴 09-03 09:00 KST — Southwest Airlines Company 배당락일 (LUV)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is stable, showing a slight lean toward bearish readings.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds maintain a neutral stance, with bullish indicators slightly outweighing bearish ones.
- Sham(FX): FX remains neutral, with indicators showing a moderate tilt toward bullish readings.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities exhibit a clear bullish bias, with the majority of readings pointing upward.
- Maine(US): US equities show a deteriorating trend, with bearish indicators significantly outweighing bullish ones.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: commodities are showing clear strength, while the broader US equity picture is deteriorating. Liquidity remains notably constrained, and while macro indicators are mixed, the underlying sentiment suggests caution across several asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-31
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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