2026-09-04 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 35.2% | 10.6% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 24.9% | 37.2% | stable |
| US | neutral | 13.9% | 26.3% | stable |
| Volatility | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 37.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Credit | bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 25.0% | 37.5% | deteriorating |
| Liquidity | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bullish | 60.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Communication Services, Energy · weak: Utilities, Industrials
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) 배당락일 (KIM)
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Dominion Energy, Inc. 배당락일 (D)
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Northern Trust Corporation 배당락일 (NTRS)
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Tapestry, Inc. 배당락일 (TPR)
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Trane Technologies plc 배당락일 (TT)
- 🔴 09-04 09:00 KST — Kimberly-Clark Corporation 배당락일 (KMB)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Volatility remains neutral, while Credit shows a complete bearish reading, and Liquidity is reading as extremely bearish. :macro:
- Bonds: The bond market exhibits a neutral stance, with bullish readings slightly outweighing bearish ones. :bonds:
- FX: Foreign exchange movement is neutral, but the underlying trend is showing signs of deterioration. :fx:
- Commodities: Commodities are reading as bullish, with a significant majority leaning toward upward momentum. :commodities:
- Korea: The Korean market is neutral, with bearish readings showing a greater weight than bullish ones. :korea:
- US: The US market is neutral overall, with bullish readings slightly trailing the bearish ones. :us:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The cross-market picture suggests divergence, with commodities showing clear strength while credit and liquidity point to significant underlying caution. The sector data indicates relative strength in Communication Services and Energy, contrasting with weakness observed in Utilities and Industrials. On balance, the market appears to be navigating a period of cautious consolidation amid differing asset class signals. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-08-31
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-04 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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