2026-09-11 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 23.8% | 28.1% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 31.2% | 37.7% | deteriorating |
| US | neutral | 7.3% | 37.4% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 37.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Credit | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 40.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: COMMUNICATION_SERVICES · weak: REAL_ESTATE, Communication Services, CONSUMER_DEFENSIVE
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Regency Centers Corporation 배당락일 (REG)
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Booking Holdings Inc. Common St 배당락일 (BKNG)
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Global Payments Inc. 배당락일 (GPN)
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Automatic Data Processing, Inc. 배당락일 (ADP)
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Textron Inc. 배당락일 (TXT)
- 🔴 09-11 09:00 KST — Albemarle Corporation 배당락일 (ALB)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains elevated with a clear bullish bias, suggesting underlying tension.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits a strong bullish leaning, though the trend remains stable.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements are registering a neutral stance with a slight bearish tilt.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are showing a balanced picture with a slight leaning toward bullishness.
- Maine(US): US equities are displaying a neutral reading, with the overall trend showing signs of deterioration.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: bonds show underlying strength while liquidity and credit indicators lean bearish. The notable surge in oil prices, coupled with rising treasury yields, suggests macro pressure is weighing on risk assets, despite some sector strength noted in communication services. The overall picture suggests caution amidst conflicting directional signals. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-07
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-11 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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