2026-09-13 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 25.9% | 25.1% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 20.9% | 15.3% | stable |
| US | neutral | 5.1% | 37.4% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | sideways_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 50.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Credit | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| FX | neutral | 12.5% | 50.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bearish | 20.0% | 40.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: BASIC_MATERIALS, CONSUMER_CYCLICAL
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated 배당락일 (UNH)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — FedEx Corporation 배당락일 (FDX)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — Healthpeak Properties, Inc. 배당락일 (DOC)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — Vertiv Holdings, LLC 배당락일 (VRT)
- 🔴 09-15 09:00 KST — Paramount Skydance Corporation 배당락일 (PSKY)
- 🔴 09-15 09:00 KST — TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 배당락일 (TKO)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains in a bullish range, suggesting underlying stability in risk appetite.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market shows an extreme bullish leaning, though the trend itself is stable.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange sentiment is mixed, leaning bearish despite a neutral overall reading.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are exhibiting a bearish bias, with only a moderate bullish component present.
- Maine(US): US equities are registering a neutral state, but the underlying trend shows signs of deterioration.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents divergence: bonds show strong bullish leaning while credit and liquidity are leaning bearish. US equities reflect this caution with a deteriorating trend, while commodities and inflation also lean bearish. The overall tape suggests caution is warranted amidst conflicting signals across asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-07
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-13 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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