2026-09-14 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 32.6% | 23.3% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 21.0% | 15.4% | stable |
| US | neutral | 5.2% | 37.2% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | sideways_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 50.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Credit | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| FX | bearish | 12.5% | 62.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | extreme_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bearish | 20.0% | 40.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: REAL_ESTATE, Basic Materials, CONSUMER_CYCLICAL
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated 배당락일 (UNH)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — FedEx Corporation 배당락일 (FDX)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — Healthpeak Properties, Inc. 배당락일 (DOC)
- 🔴 09-14 09:00 KST — Vertiv Holdings, LLC 배당락일 (VRT)
- 🔴 09-15 09:00 KST — Paramount Skydance Corporation 배당락일 (PSKY)
- 🔴 09-15 09:00 KST — TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 배당락일 (TKO)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains stable with a clear bullish bias across the board.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds show an extreme bullish leaning, while credit indicators read strongly bearish.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange dynamics are bearish, and overall liquidity conditions are extremely bearish.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities exhibit a bearish leaning, and inflation readings also lean toward the bearish side.
- Maine(US): US equities are showing a neutral stance, with the overall trend noted as deteriorating.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: while volatility remains stable and US equities are neutral, the underlying macro signals—particularly regarding credit, liquidity, and FX—are heavily weighted to the downside. This suggests underlying systemic caution despite stable volatility metrics. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-07
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-14 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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