2026-09-21 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 46.5% | 5.4% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 26.9% | 24.6% | stable |
| US | neutral | 9.5% | 60.2% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | neutral | 37.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 0.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 10.0% | 40.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: INDUSTRIALS, Real Estate, Financial Services
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — Johnson Controls International 배당락일 (JCI)
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — Vistra Corp. 배당락일 (VST)
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — W.R. Berkley Corporation 배당락일 (WRB)
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — DTE Energy Company 배당락일 (DTE)
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — Broadcom Inc. 배당락일 (AVGO)
- 🔴 09-21 09:00 KST — Kenvue Inc. 배당락일 (KVUE)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains elevated, with bearish readings dominating the current reading.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bond sentiment is balanced, showing no clear directional bias from the current readings.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange readings indicate a strong leaning toward bearish sentiment across the board.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity readings suggest a soft bias, with bearish indicators showing a notable weight.
- Maine(US): US equity sentiment is showing a deteriorating trend, with specific sectors like Industrials, Real Estate, and Financial Services showing weakness.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure shows notable divergence, with US equities exhibiting clear deterioration despite other asset classes maintaining a neutral or balanced posture. The confluence of bearish readings in FX and the weakness observed in key US sectors suggests underlying caution across multiple fronts. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-14
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-21 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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