2026-09-25 Korea Market Read — Kosho
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 66.7% | 2.6% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 30.2% | 29.9% | stable |
| US | neutral | 16.4% | 54.2% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 75.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 25.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 20.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: KR_INDUSTRIALS, KR_CONSUMER, KR_SEMICONDUCTOR, KR_MATERIALS · weak: —
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-25 21:30 KST — US PCE Price Index
- 🔴 09-29 09:00 KST — HANSOLPAPER 배당락일 (213500)
- 🔴 09-29 09:00 KST — HYUNDAIDEPTST 배당락일 (069960)
- 🟡 10-01 23:00 KST — ISM Manufacturing PMI
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: neutral → sideways_bearish (62 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains stable, showing a slight leaning toward bearish readings.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bond indicators read bullish, while credit sentiment is balanced between bullish and bearish readings.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange indicators show a pronounced bearish tilt, despite overall trend stability.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity indicators are neutral, with a slight leaning toward bearish readings.
- Kosho(KR): Korean equities are showing a neutral stance, with industrials, consumer, semiconductor, and materials sectors showing strength.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents mixed signals, with bonds showing strength while inflation leans bearish. The US market reads as neutral, though the underlying sentiment is deteriorating. Overall, the cross-market view suggests caution amidst diverging sector strengths. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-21
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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