2026-09-25 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 66.7% | 2.6% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 30.2% | 29.9% | stable |
| US | neutral | 16.4% | 54.2% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | bullish | 75.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 30.0% | 20.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Technology · weak: COMMUNICATION_SERVICES, Real Estate, Healthcare
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-25 09:00 KST — Medtronic plc. 배당락일 (MDT)
- 🔴 09-25 09:00 KST — Ralph Lauren Corporation 배당락일 (RL)
- 🔴 09-25 21:30 KST — US PCE Price Index
- 🔴 09-28 09:00 KST — Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 배당락일 (KDP)
- 🔴 09-28 21:30 KST — Carnival Corporation Ltd. 실적 발표 (CCL)
- 🔴 09-29 21:30 KST — Paychex, Inc. 실적 발표 (PAYX)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility remains at a neutral reading, showing no discernible directional bias in the underlying risk appetite.
- Bsho(Bonds): The bond market exhibits a clear bullish leaning, while credit conditions are registering a neutral stance.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements show a pronounced bearish bias, though the overall trend remains stable.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity sentiment is balanced, with a slight leaning toward bullishness against a backdrop of neutral readings.
- Maine(US): US equities are reading as neutral overall, with Technology showing strength while Communication Services, Real Estate, and Healthcare are lagging.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: bonds show bullish conviction, yet FX is decidedly bearish, and US equities are showing signs of deterioration despite technology strength. The overall picture suggests caution, with underlying macro themes pulling in different directions. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-21
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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