2026-09-28 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | bullish | 69.7% | 3.0% | improving |
| Korea | neutral | 30.2% | 29.9% | stable |
| US | neutral | 16.2% | 56.7% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 87.5% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | sideways_bullish | 50.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | neutral | 30.0% | 30.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: — · weak: HEALTHCARE, UTILITIES, BASIC_MATERIALS
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-28 09:00 KST — Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. 배당락일 (KDP)
- 🔴 09-28 21:30 KST — Carnival Corporation Ltd. 실적 발표 (CCL)
- 🔴 09-29 21:30 KST — Paychex, Inc. 실적 발표 (PAYX)
- 🔴 09-29 21:30 KST — Carnival Corporation Ltd. 실적 발표 (CCL)
- 🔴 09-30 05:00 KST — Nike, Inc. 실적 발표 (NKE)
- 🔴 09-30 09:00 KST — Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. 배당락일 (ZBH)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility is reading extreme bearish, while the overall trend remains stable.

- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds are registering extreme bullish readings, with the trend remaining stable.

- Sham(FX): FX is showing extreme bearish readings, though the trend remains stable.

- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities are showing neutral readings across the board, and the trend remains stable.

- Maine(US): US equities are reading neutral, with the trend showing deterioration, while sectors like HEALTHCARE, UTILITIES, and BASIC_MATERIALS are noted as weak.

Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a divergence: bonds are strongly bullish, while volatility and FX are reading extreme bearishness. US equities are showing signs of deterioration despite crypto exhibiting an improving trend. On balance, the market is exhibiting mixed directional signals across asset classes. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-21
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-28 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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