2026-09-29 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | neutral | 36.6% | 5.8% | stable |
| Korea | neutral | 31.1% | 29.9% | stable |
| US | bearish | 19.4% | 53.2% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | extreme_bearish | 25.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 12.5% | stable |
| Credit | neutral | 0.0% | 50.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | sideways_bullish | 50.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bearish | 20.0% | 60.0% | stable |
| Inflation | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Technology, INDUSTRIALS · weak: Utilities, FINANCIAL_SERVICES, Consumer Defensive
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 09-29 21:30 KST — Carnival Corporation Ltd. 실적 발표 (CCL)
- 🔴 09-29 21:30 KST — Paychex, Inc. 실적 발표 (PAYX)
- 🔴 09-30 05:00 KST — Nike, Inc. 실적 발표 (NKE)
- 🔴 09-30 09:00 KST — Essex Property Trust, Inc. 배당락일 (ESS)
- 🔴 09-30 09:00 KST — Steel Dynamics, Inc. 배당락일 (STLD)
- 🔴 09-30 09:00 KST — Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc. 배당락일 (ZBH)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.27) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Lovble(Global): Volatility readings indicate a predominantly bearish sentiment, though the underlying trend remains stable.
- Bsho(Bonds): Bond indicators suggest a strongly bullish environment, while credit conditions are reading as neutral.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements show a significant bearish leaning, despite a moderate bullish component.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodity sentiment is leaning bearish, with only a minor bullish indication present.
- Maine(US): US equities are showing a bearish reading with a deteriorating trend, while Technology and INDUSTRIALS sectors are showing strength.
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: bonds and liquidity show underlying strength, contrasting with bearish readings in US equities and commodities. The cross-asset picture suggests caution, with the macro backdrop showing mixed signals despite some sector strength noted in US equities. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-28
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-29 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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