2026-10-02 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | sideways_bullish | 41.1% | 26.1% | stable |
| Korea | sideways_bearish | 27.9% | 59.8% | deteriorating |
| US | sideways_bearish | 18.1% | 72.0% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | neutral | 25.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 75.0% | 0.0% | stable |
| Credit | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 50.0% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | sideways_bullish | 50.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | sideways_bearish | 0.0% | 80.0% | stable |
| Inflation | bearish | 0.0% | 75.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: TECHNOLOGY · weak: BASIC_MATERIALS, REAL_ESTATE, Communication Services
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — Philip Morris International Inc 배당락일 (PM)
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — Bristol-Myers Squibb Company 배당락일 (BMY)
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — Cisco Systems, Inc. 배당락일 (CSCO)
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — IDEX Corporation 배당락일 (IEX)
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — Roper Technologies, Inc. 배당락일 (ROP)
- 🔴 10-02 09:00 KST — Republic Services, Inc. 배당락일 (RSG)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Macro: Bonds exhibit an extreme bullish posture, while credit and inflation readings suggest a bearish regime. :macro:
- Crypto: Cryptocurrency maintains a sideways-bullish reading, suggesting limited directional conviction. :crypto:
- Korea: The Korean market shows a deteriorating trend, leaning bearish despite some bullish participation. :korea:
- US: US equities are in a deteriorating trend, showing a clear bias towards bearish sentiment. :us:
- Sectors: Technology remains a strong sector, contrasting with weakness noted in Basic Materials, Real Estate, and Communication Services. :sectors:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The macro picture presents a divergence, with bonds showing strong upward momentum while credit and inflation signal caution. Equity markets, both in the US and Korea, are showing signs of weakening trends. The sector strength remains concentrated in technology, suggesting underlying structural support within that area, even as broader risk indicators are mixed. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-28
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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