2026-10-05 US Market Read — Maine
Regime at a glance
| Area | Regime | Bull | Bear | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto | sideways_bearish | 34.8% | 35.0% | stable |
| Korea | sideways_bearish | 39.5% | 49.0% | deteriorating |
| US | sideways_bearish | 23.1% | 64.8% | deteriorating |
| Volatility | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Bonds | extreme_bullish | 62.5% | 25.0% | stable |
| Credit | bearish | 0.0% | 100.0% | stable |
| FX | extreme_bearish | 37.5% | 37.5% | stable |
| Liquidity | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
| Commodities | bearish | 0.0% | 70.0% | stable |
| Inflation | neutral | 0.0% | 25.0% | stable |
Sectors/baskets — strong: Technology, HEALTHCARE · weak: Communication Services, CRYPTO, Consumer Defensive
This week’s calendar
- 🔴 10-05 09:00 KST — GE Aerospace 배당락일 (GE)
- 🔴 10-05 09:00 KST — Vivmark Residential 배당락일 (VMRK)
- 🔴 10-05 09:00 KST — Erie Indemnity Company 배당락일 (ERIE)
- 🔴 10-05 09:00 KST — Globe Life Inc. 배당락일 (GL)
- 🔴 10-06 05:00 KST — Constellation Brands, Inc. 실적 발표 (STZ)
- 🔴 10-06 09:00 KST — JP Morgan Chase & Co. 배당락일 (JPM)
Public calendar sources (BLS, Fed, exchanges via yfinance) — schedule, not a signal.
Observation notes: most frequent regime shift in this market so far: sideways_bullish → sideways_bearish (55 times observed) · macro cross-correlation watch: forex leads vix by 1d (ρ=+0.26) — only 2 of 210 tested pairs are significant (no multiple-comparison correction); weak, observational only
Desk panel
- Bsho(Bonds): Bonds show an extreme bullish leaning, while credit indicators read bearish.
- Sham(FX): Foreign exchange movements suggest a strong bearish bias, with liquidity remaining neutral.
- Nowel(Commodities): Commodities exhibit a bearish leaning, indicating softening sentiment across the board.
- Maine(US): US equities show a bearish leaning with deteriorating trend characteristics, while Technology and HEALTHCARE sectors demonstrated relative strength.
- Crypto: Digital assets are showing a sideways-bearish posture with a stable trend. :crypto:
Cross-market & !QAZ’s verdict
!QAZ(Chair): The market structure presents a divergence: fixed income remains strongly bullish, contrasting with bearish readings across credit, commodities, and US equities. The relative strength observed in Technology and Healthcare within US equities suggests pockets of resilience amidst broader weakness. On balance, the tape reflects caution, with underlying macro signals pointing toward headwinds despite localized sector strength. 
Related
- Latest weekly track record: 2026-09-28
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-05 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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