2026-08-04 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 208 closed trades, win rate 53.8%, expectancy +0.93% per trade.
- Profit factor 2.45 · avg win +2.91% vs avg loss -1.38% (R:R 2.11).
- Best +10.46% / worst -7.36% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 208 (112W / 96L) |
| Win rate | 53.8% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.93% |
| Profit factor | 2.45 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.91% / -1.38% |
| Best / worst | +10.46% / -7.36% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a positive expectancy of +0.93% per trade, supported by a profit factor of 2.45. The win rate settled at 53.8%, indicating that the average winning trade (+2.91%) significantly outweighed the average losing trade (-1.38%). Notable gains included significant appreciation in FSLR and AXON, alongside a solid return from ORCL. Conversely, the losses were anchored by positions in WDC, STX, and LRCX, which realized declines ranging from -5.47% to -7.36%. Overall, the performance suggests that the successful captures outweighed the drawdowns experienced. 
Observations
The performance metrics suggest a favorable risk-to-reward profile was maintained across the closed set. The spread between the best outcome (+10.46%) and the worst outcome (-7.36%) highlights the potential range captured during the session. The losses incurred in WDC, STX, and LRCX, while notable, were absorbed within the overall positive expectancy calculation. These specific instances underscore the sensitivity of certain hardware and semiconductor names to immediate market shifts. 
For Next Time
The negative outcomes, particularly those seen in WDC and STX, reinforce the observation that sector-specific volatility can quickly erode gains, even when broader indices show underlying strength. The magnitude of the losses relative to the average win size suggests that managing the decay rate during initial adverse moves remains a key area of focus. The positive results from FSLR and AXON provide clear data points regarding successful capture zones in specific growth areas. 
This research note reflects the outcomes of paper-trading simulations and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | First Solar, Inc.(FSLR) | 212.30 | 234.50 | +10.46% | 67.2h | 08-01 04:30 → 08-03 23:40 |
| win | Axon Enterprise, Inc.(AXON) | 511.20 | 564.20 | +10.37% | 95.1h | 07-31 00:40 → 08-03 23:45 |
| win | Oracle Corporation(ORCL) | 127.50 | 138.80 | +8.86% | 73.2h | 08-01 00:15 → 08-04 01:25 |
| win | Coherent Corp.(COHR) | 264.00 | 286.50 | +8.52% | 72.6h | 07-31 23:35 → 08-04 00:10 |
| win | Builders FirstSource, Inc.(BLDR) | 66.28 | 71.01 | +7.14% | 93.6h | 07-31 02:50 → 08-04 00:25 |
| loss | Western Digital Corporation(WDC) | 552.70 | 512.00 | -7.36% | 67.6h | 08-01 04:10 → 08-03 23:45 |
| loss | Seagate Technology Holdings PLC(STX) | 862.80 | 802.80 | -6.95% | 66.8h | 08-01 04:50 → 08-03 23:40 |
| loss | Lam Research Corporation(LRCX) | 303.30 | 286.70 | -5.47% | 71.9h | 07-31 23:45 → 08-03 23:40 |
| loss | Micron Technology, Inc.(MU) | 848.40 | 802.70 | -5.39% | 71.9h | 07-31 23:45 → 08-03 23:40 |
| loss | NXP Semiconductors N.V.(NXPI) | 235.10 | 222.80 | -5.23% | 69.8h | 08-01 01:55 → 08-03 23:40 |
Full data — all 208 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-04 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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