2026-08-07 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 340 closed trades, win rate 34.7%, expectancy -0.27% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.70 · avg win +1.84% vs avg loss -1.39% (R:R 1.32).
- Best +10.69% / worst -20.81% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 340 (118W / 222L) |
| Win rate | 34.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.27% |
| Profit factor | 0.70 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.84% / -1.39% |
| Best / worst | +10.69% / -20.81% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome across the 340 trades executed. The overall expectancy for the closed set was negative at -0.27% per trade, and the profit factor registered at 0.70. Wins were generally larger than losses, with an average win size of +1.84% compared to an average loss of -1.39%. Notable positive results included gains on Parker-Hannifin Corporation (PH) at +10.69% and First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) at +8.41%. Conversely, the day was marked by significant drawdowns, most notably the -20.81% observed on Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) and -8.81% on Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) 
.
Observations
The performance metrics suggest that while the potential for substantial gains exists, the frequency and magnitude of losses are currently outweighing the gains across the sampled trades. The spread between the best recorded gain (+10.69%) and the worst recorded loss (-20.81%) indicates considerable volatility exposure within the analyzed set. The negative expectancy suggests that the aggregate outcomes of the closed positions were materially negative, requiring a review of the underlying assumptions guiding the trade selection process 
.
For Next Time
The larger losses, such as those seen with HONA and SNDK, highlight instances where the initial thesis appears to have been significantly challenged by market movement. These outcomes underscore the necessity of acknowledging the downside risk inherent in the current market structure, even when identifying high-conviction setups. The data points to a period where downside capture proved more impactful than the realized upside captures 
.
This research note reflects a paper-trading analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Parker-Hannifin Corporation(PH) | 987.40 | 1,093 | +10.69% | 47.8h | 08-04 23:40 → 08-06 23:30 |
| win | First Solar, Inc.(FSLR) | 229.50 | 248.80 | +8.41% | 19.2h | 08-06 04:40 → 08-06 23:50 |
| win | Fox Corporation(FOXA) | 58.44 | 61.77 | +5.70% | 24.8h | 08-05 23:50 → 08-07 00:40 |
| win | News Corporation(NWS) | 32.30 | 34.08 | +5.51% | 21.2h | 08-06 02:20 → 08-06 23:30 |
| win | Motorola Solutions, Inc.(MSI) | 445.00 | 467.70 | +5.10% | 44.8h | 08-05 03:35 → 08-07 00:20 |
| loss | Honeywell Aerospace Inc.(HONA) | 207.10 | 164.00 | -20.81% | 18.8h | 08-06 04:40 → 08-06 23:25 |
| loss | Sandisk Corporation(SNDK) | 1,408 | 1,284 | -8.81% | 22.5h | 08-06 00:55 → 08-06 23:25 |
| loss | Fiserv, Inc.(FISV) | 53.80 | 50.31 | -6.49% | 22.1h | 08-06 01:20 → 08-06 23:25 |
| loss | Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.(HST) | 24.97 | 23.58 | -5.57% | 162.8h | 07-31 04:40 → 08-06 23:25 |
| loss | Block, Inc.(XYZ) | 83.93 | 79.71 | -5.03% | 48.1h | 08-04 23:40 → 08-06 23:45 |
Full data — all 340 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-07 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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