2026-08-08 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 168 closed trades, win rate 44.0%, expectancy +0.22% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.27 · avg win +2.37% vs avg loss -1.48% (R:R 1.60).
- Best +16.06% / worst -5.38% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 168 (74W / 94L) |
| Win rate | 44.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.22% |
| Profit factor | 1.27 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.37% / -1.48% |
| Best / worst | +16.06% / -5.38% |
Recap
The session saw a notable number of closed trades, totaling 168 instances. The overall win rate settled at 44.0%, supported by an average expectancy of +0.22% per trade. The performance metrics indicate that the average winning trade size (+2.37%) was substantially larger than the average losing trade size (-1.48%), contributing to a profit factor of 1.27. The best single performance recorded was with Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) at +16.06%, while the largest drawdown among the closed trades occurred with ResMed Inc. (RMD) at -5.38%. 
Observations from Outcomes
Reviewing the outcomes reveals a clear divergence between the best and worst performers. The significant gains seen in names like ABNB and MCHP suggest periods where the market reacted strongly to specific sector or company narratives. Conversely, the losses incurred on RMD, GEV, and SNDK highlight instances where the market moved against the established thesis. These results provide a good dataset for observing the asymmetry between positive and negative price action across different market segments.
Lessons from Drawdowns
The trades that resulted in losses, such as those in the healthcare and industrial sectors, suggest that conviction levels must be carefully calibrated against underlying volatility. The magnitude of the losses, while contained relative to the best gains, points to areas where the initial directional bias proved too rigid when faced with unexpected selling pressure. It is helpful to observe how quickly the market can reverse course when initial momentum stalls. 
For Next Time
The data set provides a solid foundation for observing the distribution of outcomes. The positive expectancy, even with a win rate below 50%, underscores the importance of maintaining a favorable risk-to-reward profile across the executed trades. This historical review of realized gains and losses is a useful exercise in pattern recognition. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Airbnb, Inc.(ABNB) | 150.70 | 174.90 | +16.06% | 96.2h | 08-03 23:55 → 08-08 00:10 |
| win | Microchip Technology Incorporat(MCHP) | 75.59 | 84.01 | +11.14% | 19.2h | 08-07 04:55 → 08-08 00:10 |
| win | Newmont Corporation(NEM) | 104.90 | 112.80 | +7.53% | 48.3h | 08-06 00:25 → 08-08 00:45 |
| win | Moderna, Inc.(MRNA) | 55.21 | 58.22 | +5.45% | 28.3h | 08-06 23:50 → 08-08 04:10 |
| win | Humana Inc.(HUM) | 364.00 | 382.00 | +4.95% | 44.4h | 08-06 05:00 → 08-08 01:25 |
| loss | ResMed Inc.(RMD) | 224.90 | 212.80 | -5.38% | 20.7h | 08-07 03:40 → 08-08 00:20 |
| loss | GE Vernova Inc.(GEV) | 1,025 | 970.50 | -5.32% | 47.6h | 08-06 00:35 → 08-08 00:10 |
| loss | Sandisk Corporation(SNDK) | 1,280 | 1,216 | -5.00% | 22.7h | 08-07 01:30 → 08-08 00:10 |
| loss | Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.(KDP) | 31.21 | 29.70 | -4.84% | 96.4h | 08-03 23:45 → 08-08 00:10 |
| loss | Valero Energy Corporation(VLO) | 308.40 | 293.90 | -4.70% | 48.4h | 08-05 23:45 → 08-08 00:10 |
Full data — all 168 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-08 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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