2026-08-18 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 940 closed trades, win rate 31.4%, expectancy -1.02% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.43 · avg win +2.42% vs avg loss -2.60% (R:R 0.93).
- Best +19.27% / worst -10.13% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 940 (295W / 645L) |
| Win rate | 31.4% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.02% |
| Profit factor | 0.43 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.42% / -2.60% |
| Best / worst | +19.27% / -10.13% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity shows a negative expectancy of -1.02% per trade, with a profit factor of 0.43. Out of 940 closed trades, the win rate registered at 31.4%. The average winning trade yielded a gain of +2.42%, while the average losing trade resulted in a loss of -2.60%. The best single outcome observed was a +19.27% gain, contrasting with the worst recorded loss of -10.13%. Notable positive returns included Arcium (ARX) at +7.13% and Helium (HNT) at +5.86%. Conversely, losses were marked by ThetaDrop (TDROP) at -8.74% and Orbiter Finance (OBT) at -6.67%. 
Observations
The disparity between the average win (+2.42%) and average loss (-2.60%) suggests that the magnitude of losses is slightly outpacing the gains, contributing to the negative expectancy. The notable wins, such as ARX and HNT, suggest instances where directional conviction held up well against the prevailing market drag. However, the frequency of trades combined with the negative expectancy indicates that the overall risk profile exposed today was challenging. 
For next time
The larger average loss relative to the average gain points to an area of concern regarding stop placement or trade sizing relative to realized volatility. The trades that resulted in the largest drawdowns, like TDROP and OBT, highlight instances where the initial thesis was overcome by significant, sustained downward pressure. This suggests that the current risk parameters are being tested by deeper retracements than anticipated. 
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Arcium(ARX) | 150.10 | 160.80 | +7.13% | 9.5h | 08-17 15:30 → 08-18 01:00 |
| win | Helium(HNT) | 232.20 | 245.80 | +5.86% | 15.5h | 08-17 11:00 → 08-18 02:30 |
| win | 피크(PEAQ) | 23.34 | 24.48 | +4.88% | 46.2h | 08-16 04:00 → 08-18 02:15 |
| win | MON Protocol(MON) | 28.08 | 29.43 | +4.81% | 6.0h | 08-17 19:00 → 08-18 01:00 |
| win | 파이버스(PIEVERSE) | 1,194 | 1,240 | +3.85% | 7.8h | 08-17 20:00 → 08-18 03:45 |
| loss | ThetaDrop(TDROP) | 0.5148 | 0.4698 | -8.74% | 46.0h | 08-16 16:30 → 08-18 14:30 |
| loss | Orbiter Finance(OBT) | 0.4335 | 0.4046 | -6.67% | 12.8h | 08-17 10:30 → 08-17 23:15 |
| loss | Superform(UP) | 77.61 | 73.94 | -4.73% | 14.2h | 08-17 20:15 → 08-18 10:30 |
| loss | GoPlus Security(GPS) | 23.65 | 22.56 | -4.61% | 1.2h | 08-17 20:15 → 08-17 21:30 |
| loss | Optimism(OP) | 119.10 | 113.90 | -4.37% | 51.0h | 08-16 08:45 → 08-18 11:45 |
Full data — all 940 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-18 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)