2026-08-19 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 263 closed trades, win rate 34.6%, expectancy -0.92% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.32 · avg win +1.25% vs avg loss -2.07% (R:R 0.60).
- Best +5.27% / worst -9.08% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 263 (91W / 172L) |
| Win rate | 34.6% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.92% |
| Profit factor | 0.32 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.25% / -2.07% |
| Best / worst | +5.27% / -9.08% |
Recap
The recent closed trading activity shows a mixed outcome. Out of the 263 trades executed, the win rate registered at 34.6%. The average profit per winning trade was positive at +1.25%, contrasting with an average loss of -2.07% on losing trades. The overall expectancy for these closed trades was negative at -0.92% per trade. Notable positive returns included gains in PODD (+5.27%), ULTA (+4.70%), and ICE (+3.51%). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed in COHR (-9.08%), CIEN (-7.16%), and INTC (-6.25%). 
Observations
The disparity between the average win size and the average loss size suggests that while profitable trades achieved meaningful gains, the losses incurred were disproportionately larger relative to the wins. The profit factor of 0.32 indicates that the total gross profit generated was significantly less than the total gross loss realized across the sampled trades. This pattern suggests that the magnitude of adverse moves was a dominant factor in the overall performance metrics.
For next time
The substantial losses recorded in names like COHR and CIEN highlight instances where the market moved against established positions with considerable velocity. These outcomes underscore the challenge of navigating sharp reversals, even when initial signals appear favorable. The data points toward a regime where downside capture, when it occurs, has a pronounced impact on overall equity performance. 
This research note reflects historical paper-trading performance and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Insulet Corporation(PODD) | 138.50 | 145.80 | +5.27% | 22.5h | 08-18 02:10 → 08-19 00:40 |
| win | Ulta Beauty, Inc.(ULTA) | 496.20 | 519.50 | +4.70% | 22.0h | 08-18 02:40 → 08-19 00:40 |
| win | Intercontinental Exchange Inc.(ICE) | 151.20 | 156.50 | +3.51% | 168.0h | 08-11 23:25 → 08-18 23:25 |
| win | Edison International(EIX) | 71.19 | 73.60 | +3.39% | 96.0h | 08-15 02:05 → 08-19 02:05 |
| win | Netflix, Inc.(NFLX) | 76.04 | 78.47 | +3.20% | 21.5h | 08-18 03:10 → 08-19 00:40 |
| loss | Coherent Corp.(COHR) | 356.90 | 324.50 | -9.08% | 21.6h | 08-18 01:10 → 08-18 22:45 |
| loss | Ciena Corporation(CIEN) | 455.10 | 422.50 | -7.16% | 20.8h | 08-18 02:00 → 08-18 22:45 |
| loss | Intel Corporation(INTC) | 105.00 | 98.44 | -6.25% | 116.7h | 08-14 02:05 → 08-18 22:45 |
| loss | Xylem Inc.(XYL) | 121.00 | 113.60 | -6.12% | 142.6h | 08-13 00:10 → 08-18 22:45 |
| loss | Zebra Technologies Corporation(ZBRA) | 381.10 | 359.00 | -5.80% | 113.8h | 08-14 05:00 → 08-18 22:50 |
Full data — all 263 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-19 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)