2026-08-22 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 225 closed trades, win rate 47.1%, expectancy +0.13% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.15 · avg win +2.11% vs avg loss -1.64% (R:R 1.29).
- Best +12.02% / worst -4.16% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 225 (106W / 119L) |
| Win rate | 47.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.13% |
| Profit factor | 1.15 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.11% / -1.64% |
| Best / worst | +12.02% / -4.16% |
Recap
The day’s activity saw a substantial number of trades closed, resulting in a mixed performance overall. The positive outcomes were anchored by notable gains in specific names, such as HOOD and MRNA, which contributed significantly to the overall positive expectancy per trade. Conversely, the losses were concentrated in several names, including CIEN and MRVL. The average winning trade (+2.11%) comfortably exceeded the average losing trade (-1.64%), suggesting that the larger wins were helping to offset the smaller losses across the set of closed positions. It was a day of clear differentiation in performance across the sector. 
Lessons from the Outcomes
The trades that concluded at a loss, particularly those involving CIEN and MRVL, highlighted instances where the initial directional conviction did not hold up against market action. These instances suggest that while identifying potential areas of strength is valuable, the execution requires a degree of patience when the initial momentum stalls. The magnitude of the losses relative to the wins indicates that the risk management framework, while capturing some significant upside, also exposed the model to meaningful drawdowns when the underlying assumptions proved incorrect. 
Observation
The overall metrics—a win rate of 47.1% and a profit factor of 1.15—paint a picture of a system operating within expected parameters for a moderately profitable session. The best outcome, at +12.02%, provides a clear benchmark for potential upside capture when conditions align favorably. The spread between the best and worst outcomes (+12.02% vs. -4.16%) is quite wide, which is typical when analyzing a diverse basket of names across different market regimes. 
This research note reflects the analysis of paper-trading results and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD) | 96.59 | 108.20 | +12.02% | 46.8h | 08-20 00:25 → 08-21 23:10 |
| win | Moderna, Inc.(MRNA) | 130.60 | 144.40 | +10.57% | 20.8h | 08-21 01:55 → 08-21 22:45 |
| win | Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.(FCX) | 69.43 | 75.45 | +8.67% | 45.8h | 08-20 01:00 → 08-21 22:45 |
| win | Moderna, Inc.(MRNA) | 144.60 | 157.10 | +8.64% | 0.7h | 08-21 22:50 → 08-21 23:30 |
| win | Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN) | 169.60 | 183.20 | +8.02% | 24.0h | 08-20 22:45 → 08-21 22:45 |
| loss | Ciena Corporation(CIEN) | 401.60 | 384.90 | -4.16% | 71.3h | 08-19 00:10 → 08-21 23:30 |
| loss | Marvell Technology, Inc.(MRVL) | 247.60 | 237.40 | -4.12% | 0.6h | 08-21 22:55 → 08-21 23:30 |
| loss | Waters Corporation(WAT) | 416.50 | 399.50 | -4.08% | 47.1h | 08-19 23:40 → 08-21 22:45 |
| loss | Quanta Services, Inc.(PWR) | 671.90 | 646.00 | -3.85% | 46.8h | 08-20 01:00 → 08-21 23:50 |
| loss | CenterPoint Energy, Inc (Holdin(CNP) | 40.88 | 39.35 | -3.74% | 67.9h | 08-19 02:50 → 08-21 22:45 |
Full data — all 225 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-22 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)