2026-08-25 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 254 closed trades, win rate 50.0%, expectancy -0.27% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.77 · avg win +1.79% vs avg loss -2.33% (R:R 0.77).
- Best +5.53% / worst -8.89% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 254 (127W / 127L) |
| Win rate | 50.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.27% |
| Profit factor | 0.77 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.79% / -2.33% |
| Best / worst | +5.53% / -8.89% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed performance across the board. Out of the 254 trades executed, the win rate settled at 50.0%. The average profit per winning trade (+1.79%) was notably smaller in magnitude compared to the average loss incurred on losing trades (-2.33%). The profit factor of 0.77 indicates that the total gains were less than the total losses realized during this period. The range of outcomes was wide, highlighted by the best outcome at +5.53% and the worst at -8.89% 
.
Observations
The notable winners, such as Target Corporation (TGT) and Gartner, Inc. (IT), demonstrated positive returns, suggesting periods where specific names found support. Conversely, the losses associated with Western Digital Corporation (WDC), Coherent Corp. (COHR), and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK) were substantial, pulling the overall expectancy negative at -0.27% per trade. The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that while successful trades occurred, the magnitude of the downside risk taken on the losing side was disproportionately larger 
.
For next time
The negative expectancy, despite a 50% win rate, points to a structural imbalance in the risk/reward profile of the closed trades. The significant losses observed in semiconductor and storage names suggest that the downside capture was aggressive relative to the upside capture. The data indicates that the average loss magnitude exceeded the average gain magnitude, which is the primary drag on overall performance 
.
This research note is for informational analysis purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Target Corporation(TGT) | 160.90 | 169.80 | +5.53% | 115.4h | 08-20 04:45 → 08-25 00:10 |
| win | Gartner, Inc.(IT) | 191.50 | 200.50 | +4.70% | 73.8h | 08-21 22:50 → 08-25 00:35 |
| win | VeriSign, Inc.(VRSN) | 279.90 | 291.70 | +4.22% | 141.8h | 08-19 03:55 → 08-25 01:45 |
| win | Corteva, Inc.(CTVA) | 80.17 | 83.49 | +4.14% | 93.2h | 08-21 01:55 → 08-24 23:05 |
| win | DoorDash, Inc.(DASH) | 218.70 | 227.50 | +4.02% | 142.2h | 08-19 02:55 → 08-25 01:05 |
| loss | Western Digital Corporation(WDC) | 472.20 | 430.20 | -8.89% | 119.1h | 08-19 23:45 → 08-24 22:50 |
| loss | Coherent Corp.(COHR) | 290.80 | 265.20 | -8.80% | 71.0h | 08-21 23:50 → 08-24 22:50 |
| loss | Sandisk Corporation(SNDK) | 1,571 | 1,437 | -8.53% | 119.2h | 08-19 23:40 → 08-24 22:50 |
| loss | Lumentum Holdings Inc.(LITE) | 870.90 | 797.60 | -8.42% | 71.3h | 08-21 23:30 → 08-24 22:50 |
| loss | Marvell Technology, Inc.(MRVL) | 237.80 | 221.10 | -7.02% | 71.3h | 08-21 23:30 → 08-24 22:50 |
Full data — all 254 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-25 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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