2026-08-28 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 333 closed trades, win rate 36.3%, expectancy -0.28% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.75 · avg win +2.28% vs avg loss -1.74% (R:R 1.31).
- Best +17.25% / worst -6.16% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 333 (121W / 212L) |
| Win rate | 36.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.28% |
| Profit factor | 0.75 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.28% / -1.74% |
| Best / worst | +17.25% / -6.16% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a mixed performance across the reviewed trades. The overall expectancy for the closed set was negative at -0.28% per trade, with a profit factor below parity at 0.75. While the average winning trade yielded a positive return of +2.28%, this was offset by an average loss of -1.74%. Notable positive outcomes included significant gains in VEEV (+17.25%) and CRM (+17.20%), suggesting pockets of strong upward movement were captured. Conversely, the losses were anchored by positions such as DRI (-6.16%) and BBY (-5.63%), indicating that selling pressure or poor timing contributed to these negative outcomes 
.
Observations
The disparity between the best single-trade gain (+17.25%) and the worst single-trade loss (-6.16%) suggests that while high-conviction plays can generate substantial returns, the frequency of smaller, negative expectations is pulling the aggregate performance down. The results indicate that the magnitude of the losses, while not always exceeding the average win size, contributed meaningfully to the negative expectancy. It is clear that the market structure today favored caution, and the negative drift was evident across several sectors 
.
For Next Time
The negative expectancy, despite capturing some significant upside moves, points to a need for greater selectivity in trade entry points. The losses incurred on names like DRI and BBY highlight instances where the initial thesis may have been insufficient to withstand immediate selling pressure or broader index weakness. The pattern suggests that when the market sentiment is decidedly down, the risk/reward profile of the selected names needs to be rigorously re-evaluated before commitment.
This research note is for analytical observation only and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Veeva Systems Inc.(VEEV) | 245.20 | 287.50 | +17.25% | 45.0h | 08-26 01:50 → 08-27 22:50 |
| win | Salesforce, Inc.(CRM) | 204.10 | 239.20 | +17.20% | 24.0h | 08-26 22:50 → 08-27 22:50 |
| win | Datadog, Inc.(DDOG) | 228.40 | 249.60 | +9.28% | 19.9h | 08-27 03:10 → 08-27 23:05 |
| win | Synopsys, Inc.(SNPS) | 408.10 | 443.90 | +8.77% | 23.3h | 08-26 23:45 → 08-27 23:05 |
| win | Palo Alto Networks, Inc.(PANW) | 346.60 | 375.20 | +8.25% | 47.3h | 08-25 23:45 → 08-27 23:05 |
| loss | Darden Restaurants, Inc.(DRI) | 225.80 | 211.90 | -6.16% | 68.2h | 08-25 02:35 → 08-27 22:50 |
| loss | Best Buy Co., Inc.(BBY) | 86.87 | 81.98 | -5.63% | 23.7h | 08-26 23:10 → 08-27 22:50 |
| loss | Hormel Foods Corporation(HRL) | 23.83 | 22.52 | -5.50% | 21.8h | 08-27 01:05 → 08-27 22:50 |
| loss | TKO Group Holdings, Inc.(TKO) | 194.60 | 184.90 | -4.98% | 164.9h | 08-21 01:55 → 08-27 22:50 |
| loss | Booking Holdings Inc. Common St(BKNG) | 214.10 | 203.90 | -4.76% | 71.2h | 08-24 23:35 → 08-27 22:50 |
Full data — all 333 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-08-28 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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