2026-09-01 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 224 closed trades, win rate 28.1%, expectancy -1.16% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.30 · avg win +1.77% vs avg loss -2.30% (R:R 0.77).
- Best +6.43% / worst -20.10% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 224 (63W / 161L) |
| Win rate | 28.1% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.16% |
| Profit factor | 0.30 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.77% / -2.30% |
| Best / worst | +6.43% / -20.10% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflects a challenging pattern. Out of the 224 trades executed, the win rate settled at 28.1%. The average realized expectancy across these trades was negative at -1.16% per trade. The profit factor of 0.30 suggests that the magnitude of losses significantly outweighed the gains. While notable successes were recorded, such as the gains on CRWD (+6.43%) and SLB (+6.22%), these were counterbalanced by substantial drawdowns, exemplified by the losses on EIX (-20.10%) and PCG (-16.97%). The spread between the best outcome and the worst outcome was quite wide, indicating significant volatility capture on both ends
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Observations
The performance metrics highlight a structural imbalance in the outcomes. The average winning trade (+1.77%) was substantially smaller than the average losing trade (-2.30%). This disparity suggests that while positive movements were captured, the risk taken on losing trades was disproportionately large relative to the average positive capture. The depth of the losses, particularly the -20.10% outcome, suggests that exposure to specific, volatile names resulted in significant capital erosion, which is a key area for review
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For next time
The frequency of trades, combined with the negative expectancy and low profit factor, points to a need for a more disciplined approach to trade selection and sizing. The substantial losses incurred on certain names underscore the impact of deep drawdowns on overall performance. The data suggests that the risk parameters employed on the losing legs of the trades need closer examination relative to the potential upside captured on the winning legs. This is purely an analysis of the recorded results
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Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.(CRWD) | 213.00 | 226.70 | +6.43% | 71.9h | 08-28 23:10 → 08-31 23:05 |
| win | SLB Limited(SLB) | 55.75 | 59.22 | +6.22% | 91.1h | 08-28 04:00 → 08-31 23:05 |
| win | Halliburton Company(HAL) | 35.50 | 37.23 | +4.87% | 72.3h | 08-28 22:45 → 08-31 23:05 |
| win | Ulta Beauty, Inc.(ULTA) | 510.30 | 530.60 | +3.98% | 71.8h | 08-28 23:50 → 08-31 23:35 |
| win | APA Corporation(APA) | 41.57 | 43.22 | +3.97% | 119.8h | 08-26 23:20 → 08-31 23:05 |
| loss | Edison International(EIX) | 70.14 | 56.04 | -20.10% | 68.2h | 08-29 02:45 → 08-31 22:55 |
| loss | Pacific Gas & Electric Co.(PCG) | 16.15 | 13.41 | -16.97% | 68.5h | 08-29 02:25 → 08-31 22:55 |
| loss | Take-Two Interactive Software,(TTWO) | 238.80 | 218.80 | -8.38% | 69.2h | 08-29 01:40 → 08-31 22:55 |
| loss | Reddit, Inc.(RDDT) | 157.00 | 147.50 | -6.05% | 95.2h | 08-27 23:40 → 08-31 22:55 |
| loss | Clorox Company (The)(CLX) | 105.20 | 99.32 | -5.59% | 139.9h | 08-26 03:00 → 08-31 22:55 |
Full data — all 224 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-01 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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