2026-09-04 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 187 closed trades, win rate 54.5%, expectancy -0.18% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.85 · avg win +1.94% vs avg loss -2.74% (R:R 0.71).
- Best +12.49% / worst -50.31% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 187 (102W / 85L) |
| Win rate | 54.5% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.18% |
| Profit factor | 0.85 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.94% / -2.74% |
| Best / worst | +12.49% / -50.31% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome across the reviewed trades. Out of 187 closed positions, the win rate settled at 54.5%. The average profit realized on winning trades was +1.94%, contrasting with an average loss of -2.74% on losing trades. This differential contributed to a negative expectancy of -0.18% per trade, and the profit factor registered at 0.85. Notable positive returns were seen in HOOD (+12.49%), PLTR (+8.65%), and VRT (+6.96%). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were recorded in APH (-50.31%), TSN (-7.99%), and HPE (-6.65%). 
Observations
The disparity between the average win size and the average loss size suggests that while the winning trades were generally larger than the losing trades, the magnitude of the losses was sufficient to pull the overall expected value into negative territory. The presence of significant negative outliers, such as the -50.31% move in APH, indicates that risk management parameters were tested significantly on the downside today. 
Lessons from Outcomes
The substantial negative outcomes, particularly the deep drawdowns observed in APH and other names, underscore the sensitivity of certain names to broader market shifts or sector-specific pressures. These results highlight that even when successful trades accumulate positive returns, the impact of a few large losses can materially temper the overall performance profile. 
For Next Time
The overall pattern suggests that the risk taken on the losing side of the trades has outweighed the gains realized on the winning side, as reflected by the negative expectancy. The data points to a need for a closer examination of the risk-adjusted return profile across the entire set of closed trades.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD) | 104.90 | 118.00 | +12.49% | 45.0h | 09-02 01:45 → 09-03 22:45 |
| win | Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) | 170.00 | 184.70 | +8.65% | 18.6h | 09-03 05:00 → 09-03 23:35 |
| win | Vertiv Holdings, LLC(VRT) | 251.30 | 268.80 | +6.96% | 49.5h | 09-01 23:20 → 09-04 00:50 |
| win | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp(HPE) | 47.38 | 50.01 | +5.55% | 3.9h | 09-03 22:50 → 09-04 02:45 |
| win | EchoStar Corporation(ECHO) | 85.52 | 89.43 | +4.57% | 164.8h | 08-28 03:05 → 09-03 23:55 |
| loss | Amphenol Corporation(APH) | 161.30 | 80.15 | -50.31% | 167.9h | 08-27 22:50 → 09-03 22:45 |
| loss | Tyson Foods, Inc.(TSN) | 55.95 | 51.48 | -7.99% | 17.8h | 09-03 05:00 → 09-03 22:45 |
| loss | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Comp(HPE) | 50.65 | 47.28 | -6.65% | 44.4h | 09-02 02:20 → 09-03 22:45 |
| loss | Broadcom Inc.(AVGO) | 369.10 | 346.90 | -6.01% | 166.0h | 08-28 00:45 → 09-03 22:45 |
| loss | NetApp, Inc.(NTAP) | 181.80 | 171.70 | -5.56% | 47.3h | 09-01 23:25 → 09-03 22:45 |
Full data — all 187 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-04 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)