2026-09-11 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 177 closed trades, win rate 15.3%, expectancy -1.93% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.14 · avg win +2.00% vs avg loss -2.63% (R:R 0.76).
- Best +11.61% / worst -8.18% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 177 (27W / 150L) |
| Win rate | 15.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -1.93% |
| Profit factor | 0.14 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.00% / -2.63% |
| Best / worst | +11.61% / -8.18% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed performance across the reviewed trades. The aggregate results indicate a negative expectancy per trade, with the profit factor at 0.14. While there were notable positive outcomes, such as the gains seen in SWKS and ELV, these were counterbalanced by several larger losses, including those recorded for FCX and HOOD. The average winning trade realized a gain of 2.00%, which was insufficient to offset the average loss of 2.63%. 
Observations
The frequency of trades executed, totaling 177 closures, suggests a high degree of activity across the analyzed names. The spread between the best outcome (+11.61%) and the worst outcome (-8.18%) indicates significant volatility captured during the period. The disparity between the average win and average loss suggests that the magnitude of losses is disproportionately impacting the overall performance metrics. 
Lessons from the Outcomes
The losses observed, particularly those in FCX and KLAC, highlight the difficulty in maintaining positive risk-adjusted returns when the downside deviation is substantial relative to the upside capture. The negative expectancy suggests that the frequency of trades resulting in losses is currently outweighing the gains from successful trades. 
For Next Time
The data points to a challenging regime where capturing significant gains requires managing the downside risk more stringently. The objective observation is that the magnitude of the losses recorded today contributed heavily to the overall negative expectation.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Skyworks Solutions, Inc.(SWKS) | 74.86 | 83.55 | +11.61% | 24.6h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-11 01:10 |
| win | Elevance Health, Inc.(ELV) | 393.50 | 413.70 | +5.13% | 23.8h | 09-09 23:15 → 09-10 23:05 |
| win | Centene Corporation(CNC) | 64.43 | 66.59 | +3.35% | 21.8h | 09-10 01:20 → 09-10 23:05 |
| win | QUALCOMM Incorporated(QCOM) | 174.60 | 180.00 | +3.09% | 25.6h | 09-10 00:45 → 09-11 02:20 |
| win | CF Industries Holdings, Inc.(CF) | 136.30 | 140.40 | +3.01% | 168.0h | 09-03 23:05 → 09-10 23:05 |
| loss | Freeport-McMoRan, Inc.(FCX) | 76.38 | 70.13 | -8.18% | 21.8h | 09-10 00:55 → 09-10 22:45 |
| loss | Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD) | 119.20 | 112.40 | -5.70% | 42.9h | 09-09 03:50 → 09-10 22:45 |
| loss | KLA Corporation(KLAC) | 185.70 | 175.80 | -5.33% | 139.1h | 09-05 03:40 → 09-10 22:45 |
| loss | Uber Technologies, Inc.(UBER) | 73.30 | 69.49 | -5.20% | 47.2h | 09-08 23:35 → 09-10 22:45 |
| loss | NVIDIA Corporation(NVDA) | 230.40 | 218.70 | -5.08% | 163.3h | 09-04 03:25 → 09-10 22:45 |
Full data — all 177 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-11 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
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- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
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