2026-09-12 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 56 closed trades, win rate 39.3%, expectancy -0.70% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.52 · avg win +1.92% vs avg loss -2.39% (R:R 0.80).
- Best +4.89% / worst -4.13% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 56 (22W / 34L) |
| Win rate | 39.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.70% |
| Profit factor | 0.52 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +1.92% / -2.39% |
| Best / worst | +4.89% / -4.13% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity reflected a mixed outcome. Out of the 56 trades executed, the win rate settled at 39.3%. The average realized profit was 1.92%, contrasted by an average loss of -2.39%. The profit factor of 0.52 indicates that the average losing trade size exceeded the average winning trade size. Notable positive returns were seen in Gartner, Inc. (+4.89%), Applovin Corporation (+3.69%), and AT&T Inc. (+3.16%). Conversely, the largest drawdowns were observed in Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (-4.13%), Wynn Resorts, Limited (-4.00%), and Adobe Inc. (-3.92%). The range of outcomes, from a high of +4.89% to a low of -4.13%, suggests significant volatility captured across the sampled names 
.
Observations
The performance metrics suggest that the magnitude of losses tended to outweigh the gains realized across the closed set. The negative expectancy of -0.70% per trade indicates that, on average, the system absorbed more capital through losses than it generated through wins 
. The notable losses, particularly those exceeding 3.9% in magnitude, suggest that when certain names experienced sharp declines, the resulting capital erosion was substantial.
For Next Time
The trades resulting in the largest losses—EW, WYNN, and ADBE—highlight instances where the market moved against the established positions with considerable force. These outcomes underscore the difficulty in maintaining positive expectancy when the downside deviation is large relative to the upside capture. The pattern observed is that significant negative moves can quickly erode gains, even when some profitable trades are identified 
.
This research note reflects historical paper-trading performance data and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Gartner, Inc.(IT) | 167.60 | 175.80 | +4.89% | 50.7h | 09-09 23:25 → 09-12 02:05 |
| win | Applovin Corporation(APP) | 309.30 | 320.70 | +3.69% | 49.0h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-12 01:35 |
| win | AT&T Inc.(T) | 25.29 | 26.09 | +3.16% | 46.6h | 09-10 04:00 → 09-12 02:35 |
| win | T-Mobile US, Inc.(TMUS) | 177.70 | 183.30 | +3.15% | 47.5h | 09-10 00:35 → 09-12 00:05 |
| win | Kroger Company (The)(KR) | 56.72 | 58.47 | +3.09% | 46.2h | 09-10 01:50 → 09-12 00:05 |
| loss | Edwards Lifesciences Corporatio(EW) | 87.48 | 83.87 | -4.13% | 73.0h | 09-08 23:35 → 09-12 00:35 |
| loss | Wynn Resorts, Limited(WYNN) | 91.07 | 87.43 | -4.00% | 72.2h | 09-08 22:55 → 09-11 23:05 |
| loss | Adobe Inc.(ADBE) | 255.40 | 245.40 | -3.92% | 66.6h | 09-09 04:00 → 09-11 22:35 |
| loss | The J.M. Smucker Company(SJM) | 124.60 | 120.20 | -3.53% | 71.7h | 09-08 23:25 → 09-11 23:05 |
| loss | Eversource Energy (D/B/A)(ES) | 71.10 | 68.62 | -3.49% | 164.7h | 09-05 02:55 → 09-11 23:35 |
Full data — all 56 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-12 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)