2026-09-26 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 103 closed trades, win rate 44.7%, expectancy -0.01% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.99 · avg win +2.80% vs avg loss -2.27% (R:R 1.23).
- Best +9.07% / worst -5.55% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 103 (46W / 57L) |
| Win rate | 44.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.01% |
| Profit factor | 0.99 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.80% / -2.27% |
| Best / worst | +9.07% / -5.55% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity involved 103 trades, resulting in a win rate of 44.7%. The overall expectancy for the closed trades was slightly negative at -0.01% per trade. The profit factor registered at 0.99, indicating that the aggregate losses slightly outweighed the aggregate gains across the recorded trades. The average winning trade realized a gain of 2.80%, while the average losing trade incurred a loss of 2.27%. Notable positive outcomes included gains in Datadog, Inc. (DDOG) at +9.07% and Jabil Inc. (JBL) at +7.97%. Conversely, losses were observed in Comcast Corporation (CMCSA) at -5.55% and CME Group Inc. (CME) at -3.94%. 
Observations
The performance metrics suggest a slight drag on overall profitability from the closed set. The disparity between the average win size and the average loss size, while present, did not translate into a positive expectancy for the period. The notable wins, such as the performance in DDOG, suggest instances where directional conviction led to significant positive returns. The losses, particularly those seen in CMCSA and GEN, highlight instances where the market moved against the established positions. 
Lessons from Outcomes
The trades that concluded with losses, such as those in CMCSA and CME, point to periods where the underlying momentum or technical support levels proved insufficient to sustain the initial thesis. These outcomes underscore the importance of observing confirmation across multiple timeframes before concluding a trade sequence. The negative expectancy suggests that the risk management applied to the losing trades was not sufficiently buffered by the gains realized in the winning trades. 
This research note reflects a paper-trading analysis and does not constitute investment advice.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Datadog, Inc.(DDOG) | 252.60 | 275.50 | +9.07% | 42.9h | 09-24 04:10 → 09-25 23:05 |
| win | Jabil Inc.(JBL) | 305.00 | 329.30 | +7.97% | 72.3h | 09-22 22:45 → 09-25 23:05 |
| win | Humana Inc.(HUM) | 379.10 | 409.30 | +7.97% | 73.7h | 09-22 22:55 → 09-26 00:35 |
| win | QUALCOMM Incorporated(QCOM) | 192.30 | 204.10 | +6.14% | 26.3h | 09-24 23:15 → 09-26 01:35 |
| win | Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL) | 535.30 | 563.20 | +5.21% | 25.3h | 09-24 23:45 → 09-26 01:05 |
| loss | Comcast Corporation(CMCSA) | 22.69 | 21.43 | -5.55% | 23.9h | 09-24 22:45 → 09-25 22:40 |
| loss | Gen Digital Inc.(GEN) | 23.69 | 22.61 | -4.56% | 18.1h | 09-25 04:35 → 09-25 22:40 |
| loss | CME Group Inc.(CME) | 274.20 | 263.40 | -3.94% | 73.3h | 09-22 22:45 → 09-26 00:05 |
| loss | Copart, Inc.(CPRT) | 28.77 | 27.69 | -3.75% | 70.9h | 09-22 23:45 → 09-25 22:40 |
| loss | Honeywell Aerospace Inc.(HONA) | 163.60 | 157.50 | -3.73% | 50.7h | 09-24 00:55 → 09-26 03:35 |
Full data — all 103 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-09-26 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)