2026-10-02 Crypto Trading Journal — Bengal
Key takeaways
- 646 closed trades, win rate 48.0%, expectancy -0.05% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.96 · avg win +2.46% vs avg loss -2.37% (R:R 1.04).
- Best +33.33% / worst -5.58% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 646 (310W / 336L) |
| Win rate | 48.0% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.05% |
| Profit factor | 0.96 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.46% / -2.37% |
| Best / worst | +33.33% / -5.58% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity showed a mixed outcome. Out of 646 trades, the win rate settled at 48.0%. The average realized profit was positive at +2.46% per winning trade, while the average loss was -2.37% per losing trade. The overall expectancy for the closed set was negative at -0.05% per trade, and the profit factor registered at 0.96. Notable positive returns included Wayfinder (PROMPT) at +9.28% and Audius (AUDIO) at +8.72%. Conversely, the largest recorded losses came from 쑨 (SOON) at -4.77% and USD.AI (CHIP) at -4.57%. It is a somewhat unsettling picture, given the negative expectancy 
.
Observations
The spread between the best recorded gain (+33.33%) and the worst recorded loss (-5.58%) indicates significant dispersion in outcomes. The fact that the average win size slightly exceeds the average loss size, yet the overall expectancy remains negative, suggests that the frequency of losses, or the magnitude of smaller losses relative to the wins, is pulling the aggregate performance down. The notable wins suggest capture of significant upward momentum in specific assets, but the losses highlight areas where the downside risk materialized more frequently or with greater impact 
.
For next time
The negative expectancy, despite positive average win sizes, points toward a structural drag across the closed trades. The losses incurred on assets like 쑨 (SOON) and USD.AI (CHIP) suggest that when trades moved against the initial thesis, the drawdown was substantial enough to negate the gains from the successful trades. This pattern warrants careful review of the risk management applied during the periods of decline 
.
Disclaimer: This research note reflects a simulation of past trading activity and does not constitute financial advice or an endorsement of any future trading strategy.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Wayfinder(PROMPT) | 29.73 | 32.49 | +9.28% | 1.8h | 10-01 19:45 → 10-01 21:30 |
| win | Audius(AUDIO) | 22.24 | 24.18 | +8.72% | 6.0h | 10-01 16:15 → 10-01 22:15 |
| win | 네오(NEO) | 3,437 | 3,650 | +6.20% | 37.2h | 10-01 05:30 → 10-02 18:45 |
| win | Nervos Network(CKB) | 1.77 | 1.87 | +5.82% | 16.2h | 10-01 16:45 → 10-02 09:00 |
| win | SuperVerse(SUPER) | 267.30 | 280.70 | +5.01% | 6.8h | 10-01 20:00 → 10-02 02:45 |
| loss | 쑨(SOON) | 611.60 | 582.40 | -4.77% | 2.0h | 10-01 20:00 → 10-01 22:00 |
| loss | USD.AI(CHIP) | 59.06 | 56.36 | -4.57% | 18.8h | 10-01 03:15 → 10-01 22:00 |
| loss | 아크(ARK) | 342.30 | 326.70 | -4.56% | 4.5h | 10-01 17:30 → 10-01 22:00 |
| loss | 이온(AEON) | 74.01 | 70.97 | -4.11% | 28.8h | 09-30 17:15 → 10-01 22:00 |
| loss | ZKsync(ZK) | 16.41 | 15.74 | -4.08% | 47.2h | 09-30 00:30 → 10-01 23:45 |
Full data — all 646 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-02 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)