2026-10-03 US Trading Journal — Maine
Key takeaways
- 150 closed trades, win rate 58.7%, expectancy +0.51% per trade.
- Profit factor 1.52 · avg win +2.51% vs avg loss -2.33% (R:R 1.08).
- Best +6.66% / worst -8.60% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 150 (88W / 62L) |
| Win rate | 58.7% |
| Expectancy / trade | +0.51% |
| Profit factor | 1.52 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.51% / -2.33% |
| Best / worst | +6.66% / -8.60% |
Recap
The day’s closed activity shows a solid performance profile across the 150 trades executed. The win rate settled at 58.7%, supported by a positive expectancy of +0.51% per trade. The profit factor of 1.52 suggests that winning trades have been meaningfully larger than the losing trades, which is encouraging. The average winning return of +2.51% compared to the average loss of -2.33% indicates a reasonable risk-reward capture across the set of trades. The notable gains in names like TXN and MPWR, alongside the solid performance from ETN, provided some clear positive anchors to the session 
.
Lessons from Outcomes
The losses, particularly the -8.60% on NKE and the -7.10% on WDC, highlight the potential for sharp drawdowns when momentum shifts against the initial thesis. These outcomes underscore that even when the overall structure appears sound, individual names can experience significant, rapid reversals. The spread between the best outcome (+6.66%) and the worst outcome (-8.60%) suggests that while the system captures significant upside when it materializes, the downside exposure can be substantial in specific sectors 
.
For Next Time
The data confirms that the positive expectancy is being generated through a combination of capturing meaningful upside moves while managing the average loss size. The breadth of the wins, spanning different sectors, suggests that the underlying framework is capturing general market strength rather than being overly reliant on a single theme. It remains an interesting pattern to observe the consistency of the positive expectancy despite the notable single-stock drawdowns 
.
Notable trades (top 5 wins · top 5 losses)
| Result | Symbol | Buy | Sell | P&L | Held | Entry → Exit (KST) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| win | Texas Instruments Incorporated(TXN) | 276.30 | 294.70 | +6.66% | 164.0h | 09-26 02:45 → 10-02 22:45 |
| win | Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.(MPWR) | 1,340 | 1,428 | +6.57% | 95.2h | 09-28 23:35 → 10-02 22:45 |
| win | Eaton Corporation, PLC(ETN) | 427.00 | 450.30 | +5.46% | 23.0h | 10-01 23:50 → 10-02 22:50 |
| win | Robinhood Markets, Inc.(HOOD) | 112.30 | 118.40 | +5.43% | 22.2h | 10-02 00:25 → 10-02 22:40 |
| win | Caterpillar, Inc.(CAT) | 813.30 | 854.90 | +5.11% | 94.1h | 09-29 00:45 → 10-02 22:50 |
| loss | Nike, Inc.(NKE) | 36.04 | 32.94 | -8.60% | 69.9h | 09-30 00:45 → 10-02 22:40 |
| loss | Western Digital Corporation(WDC) | 453.50 | 421.30 | -7.10% | 70.4h | 09-30 00:15 → 10-02 22:40 |
| loss | Applovin Corporation(APP) | 282.60 | 268.50 | -4.99% | 22.8h | 10-01 23:55 → 10-02 22:40 |
| loss | Boston Scientific Corporation(BSX) | 43.84 | 42.11 | -3.95% | 71.9h | 09-29 22:45 → 10-02 22:40 |
| loss | GE Vernova Inc.(GEV) | 1,000 | 960.60 | -3.94% | 21.2h | 10-02 01:50 → 10-02 23:00 |
Full data — all 150 closed trades: CSV download · or query live via OneQAZ MCP.
Related
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
Three ways to see OneQAZ — this post is the synthesis layer:
- Live — dashboard stream (the system’s screen, 24/7)
- Synthesis — blog.oneqaz.com (daily reads · journals · track record)
- Query — OneQAZ MCP (connect an AI to live data)