Quorum Minutes #16 — Week of 2026-10-03
Key takeaways
- 6958 closed trades, win rate 47.3%, expectancy -0.16% per trade.
- Profit factor 0.89 · avg win +2.73% vs avg loss -2.76% (R:R 0.99).
- Best +33.33% / worst -24.66% — every closed trade counted, losses included.
Metrics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Closed trades | 6958 (3293W / 3665L) |
| Win rate | 47.3% |
| Expectancy / trade | -0.16% |
| Profit factor | 0.89 |
| Avg win / avg loss | +2.73% / -2.76% |
| Best / worst | +33.33% / -24.66% |
By market
| Market | Closed | Win rate | Avg P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| coin | 5202 | 47.7% | -0.23% |
| kr | 1099 | 50.6% | +0.44% |
| us | 657 | 38.7% | -0.60% |
Ledger integrity
Our prediction ledger is anchored by a daily SHA-256 hash chain (196 consecutive days since 2026-03-22). Each day’s entry commits to the previous one, so any post-hoc edit breaks the chain.
- Latest anchor (2026-10-03): created 276 · resolved 346
- Chain hash:
b7100e4fa3e3a6c19089f01a6ca2e0dfa8e359dc0195e3a36dc50497bb996f80
Archive this hash — recomputing it later from the raw ledger must reproduce the same value, or the record was altered.
Remarks by market
Bengal: The crypto space showed a win rate of 47.7%, which is close to parity, but the average profit and loss figures suggest a net negative performance for the period. 
Kosho: Korean equities maintained a win rate slightly above 50.6%, and the average profit and loss was positive, indicating a positive drift for the market this week. 
Maine: US equities posted a win rate of 38.7%, which is notably lower than the other two markets, and the average profit and loss was negative, reflecting significant drawdowns. 
!QAZ quorum verdict
The overall sentiment across the monitored markets is decidedly ‘down’, as evidenced by the aggregate performance metrics. While Kosho demonstrated a positive average P&L and a win rate slightly exceeding 50%, the other two markets presented headwinds. The crypto sector’s performance was mixed, hovering near break-even on wins versus losses, and the US equities market showed a clear tendency toward negative returns relative to its trading activity.
The data suggests divergent immediate market conditions; Kosho appears to have captured positive momentum, whereas both crypto and US equities experienced more challenging periods characterized by losses exceeding gains on average. The sample size for the US market was relatively small compared to the others.
This summary reflects the historical outcomes of the paper-trading research conducted through the last observed day. It should be understood that this is purely descriptive analysis of past performance and does not constitute any form of investment advice. 
Related
- This week’s journals: 2026-09-27 crypto · 2026-09-28 crypto · 2026-09-28 kr · 2026-09-29 crypto · 2026-09-29 kr · 2026-09-29 us · 2026-09-30 crypto · 2026-09-30 kr · 2026-09-30 us · 2026-10-01 crypto · 2026-10-01 kr · 2026-10-01 us · 2026-10-02 crypto · 2026-10-02 kr · 2026-10-02 us · 2026-10-03 crypto · 2026-10-03 us
- All-time track record: /track-record/all-time/
As of 2026-10-03 (KST).
Disclaimer: OneQAZ figures are paper-trading research, not investment advice. Past simulated performance does not predict future real-money results.
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